https://www.avient.com/sites/default/files/Avient Climate Change Scenario Analysis Summary 2022.pdf
Avient Climate-related Scenario Analysis Summary
SCOPE & TIME HORIZON
AVIENT SCENARIO NET ZERO FUTURE PLEDGING PROGRESS STEADFAST POLICY
CONVENTION 1.3-1.5°C 1.9-2.3°C 2.4-2.8°C
TRANSITION RISK Net Zero Emissions Scenario Announced Pledges Scenario Stated Policies Scenario
(IEA WEO 2021
1
scenarios) (NZE) | 1.4°C (APS) | 2.1°C (STEPS) | 2.6°C
Emissions peak at 2050 and slowly decline through 2100 Emissions continue to rise beyond 2100 at slower rates Emissions continue to rise beyond 2100 at current rates
BUSINESS
IMPLICATIONS
Increased transition risk:
Business impacted by climate policies, carbon prices, market
pressures and technological advancements
Increased physical risk:
Business impacted by direct damages and indirect discruption
assocated with severe changes in climate driven weather events
· Highly regulated policy environment · Moderate policy regulation · Few changes to current policy settings
· Ambitious; net zero commitments achieved at most all
levels
· Government commitments and National Determined
Contributions are achieved
· Not all stated commitments are achieved
· Improved air pollution in advanced and emerging market
& developing economies
· Rising air pollution levels especially in emerging market
and developing economies
· Doubling of the frequency of extreme heat events by 2050
and 120% increase in intensity & rising air pollution levels
especially in emerging market and developing economies
· Expectation of signifcant capital allocation for innovative
product design, energy efficiency investments, and clean
electrification of operations
· Additional levels of R&D investment will be required to
contribute to and attain announced commitments
CLIMATE-RELATED SCENARIOS ANALYZED
Global operations through 2050
PARAMETERS & ASSUMPTIONS
EXCEED
2.5°C
EXCEED
2.0°C
RETURN
BELOW
1.5°C
IMPACT DRIVER &
NET ZERO FUTURE PLEDGING PROGRESS STEADFAST POLICY
Policy & Legal Risk
Carbon pricing exposure in USA, China,
Germany and Spain
Fines and/or compliance measures:
· Clean electrification of operations;
· Emissions intensive equipment phase-out;
· Circular economic and materials efficiency
strategies;
· Net-zero carbon building standards;
· Mandatory energy management systems
and audits
Carbon pricing exposure in USA, China,
Germany, Spain, and Saudi Arabia
Increased fines and compliance measures
related to:
· Phase-outs aligned with Nationaly
Determined Contributions (NDC);
· Renewable energy sourcing;
· Material efficiency standards (minimum
recycled content for packaging, and
enhanced vechicle air quality)
Some regional carbon pricing exposure in
China, Germany and Spain
Technology Risk
Capital expenditures to subsitute emissions
intensive technologies
Declining price point competitiveness
caused by decarbonization pass through
costs
R&D costs to transition to design and deploy
lower-emissions technologies
Slower substitution of materials with lower-
emission options
Market Risk
Declining redundant supply and sourcing
more sustainably causes raw material costs
to rise
Customers demand to lower their scope 3
emissions from purchased goods and
services across all markets
Increasing competition from existing and
unforeseen polymer and non-polymer-
based products that reduce further impact
on climate
Customer behaviors from advanced
economies demand lower carbon products
Rising degree of uncertainty in raw material
prices
Slow customer behavior changes in some
advanced economies
High degree of uncertainty in energy market
signals
Reputation Risk
Chemical sector or certain petrochemical
materials (i.e., plastics) stigmatized
Rising expectations for rapid innovation and
displacement of older, heavily carbon-
intensive designs and manufacturing
processes
NDC countries expected to innovate and
seek rapid minimization of customers' scope
3 emissions
Increased concern from stakeholders for not
addressing climate change globally or for
the chemicals sector
Acute & Chronic Risk
Possible direct damage to fixed assets and
logistics disruptions in both our value chain
and operations
More frequent and intense weather events
and changing preciptation patterns are likely
to damage manufaturing faciliites, disrupt
logistics and sourcing activities, and
negatively affect employee health and
communities where we operate
More frequent and intense weather events
and changing preciptation patterns are likely
to affect the performance of grids and
thermal plants while pushing up demand for
cooling, damage fixed assets, disrupt
logistics and sourcing activities, and
negatively affect employee health and
communities where we operate
IMPACT DRIVER &
NET ZERO FUTURE PLEDGING PROGRESS STEADFAST POLICY
Resource
Efficiency
Opportunity
More efficient production and distribution
processes, reduced natural resource usage,
continued use of recycling, and inclusion of
recycled materials in our products such as
reSoundTM R, ColorMatrix™ Capture™
Oxygen Scavenger, among others will
contribute to increasing product revenues
and reduced operating costs
Resource efficiency efforts supported by
capital allocation in NDC countries is more
likely and may accelerate a path toward
maximizing ROI and reducing operating
costs
Less regulatory and pressure to incentivize
may cause gains from efforts to lag
Energy Source
Opportunity
Use of greater external financing options,
such as operating lease arrangements or
energy performance shared savings
contracts, to source lower emission-energy
and new technologies, such as carbon
capture, utilization & storage (CCUS), in our
operations may reduce operating costs and
maximize returns on investment
Use of lower emission-sources of energy in
operations will lower operating costs and
contribute toward reductions of our scope 1
and 2 emissions and product carbon
intensities
Use of renewable energy, increased
efficiency, and electrification initiatives will
lower operating costs and contribute toward
reductions of our scope 1 and 2 emissions
and product carbon intensities.
We are positioned to capture
enhanced market share over expanding and
emerging needs that will also enable climate
resiliency
High revenue growth opportunities to meet
demand for highly efficient chemical
materials that will contribute to lowering
customers' emissions as part of our
Sustainable Solutions label
High to moderate revenue growth
opportunities for new chemical materials
pertinent to Avient's customers' strategies
(low-carbon and otherwise) and are in
compliance with any existing regulations
(i.e., VOC reducing materials that address
vehicle air quality standards)
Impact Legend Time horizon Legend
Low impact S - short-term 0-5 years
Moderate impact M - medium-term 5-15 years
High impact L - long-term 15-30 years
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSES
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSES
IMPACT DRIVER &
Policy & Legal Risk
Technology Risk
Market Risk
Reputation Risk
Acute & Chronic Risk
IMPACT DRIVER &
Resource
Efficiency
Opportunity
Energy Source
Opportunity
Products &
Services and
Markets Opportunities
· We have embedded an energy intensity KPI (covering process and builidng efficiencies) into the incentive structure for all employees
https://www.avient.com/sites/default/files/2021-04/maxxam-polyolefins-formualtions-case-study.pdf
HVAC doors are typically produced by injection molding
two parts that provide structural strength and air
sealing performance.
In addition, the new material also provides anti-static
properties and low VOC levels, which helps the system
adhere to regulations such as the Vehicle Interior Air
Quality (VIAQ) standard.